PGA Championship tips 2020: Koepka and Rahm leading the pack… but Oosthuizen and Willett worth an outside shot

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THE first Major of the year finally tees off on Thursday.

We have seen enough of the top players since the PGA Tour shutdown ended to get a good idea of their form.

AP:Associated Press

NINTCHDBPICT000596780043[/caption]

Well, apart from Tiger Woods that is…

Woods is a 33-1 shot to win his 16th Major title.

But he has played just four competitive rounds since mid-February, finishing down in 40th place at the Memorial, an event he has won five times.

He did not manage a single round in the 60s – carding two 76s.

Woods had to fight back pain AND birdie the final two holes in round two just to make the cut.

His odds would be closer to 100-1 if his name wasn’t Tiger, so it’s hard to back him at that price.

But here are a few players who are a little more appealing…

*All odds from Ladbrokes, as of 12pm Tuesday August 4, 2020…

HOT-SHOTS

Brooks Koepka – 9/1

AP:Associated Press

Brooks Koepka may be amongst the favourites but there’s a reason for that[/caption]

I hate to put up favourites, but it’s THAT time of year again.

And the man who has won four of the last ten Majors he has contested is looking mean and magnificent again, judging by his return to form in Memphis.

Koepka is going for an unprecedented hat-trick of USPGA titles.

No-one has managed that since it became a stroke play event in 1958.

And Koepka’s form figures in the Majors last year read 2-1-2-4.

He seems certain to be involved in the finish on Sunday.

Jon Rahm – 12/1

EPA

Jon Rahm is certainly within a shout of stealing victory[/caption]

His first tournament as the world No1 did not go well and he surrendered top spot to WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational winner Justin Thomas.

But I like the fact the Spaniard is not carrying that extra burden in San Francisco.

He was a hugely impressive winner of The Memorial before that, and has always looked comfortable on California courses.

His record in the Farmers Insurance at Torrey Pines – a win and a second in the last three years – proves that.

He has already posted three top four finishes in the Majors and can kick on.

Collin Morikawa – 30/1

AP:Associated Press

Collin Morikawa looks good value to go all the way and win[/caption]

He has emerged as the “Steady Eddie” among the new breed of exciting young players – think Hovland, Wolff etc – and seems to have the ideal temperament for the Majors.

The world No12 showed there was no scar tissue from missing the short putt that would have won him the Charles Schwab Challenge by beating Justin Thomas in a play-off to land the Workday title last month.

Bounced back from a slow start in Memphis with encouraging weekend rounds of 67-66.

OUTSIDERS

Shane Lowry – 66/1

EPA

Shane Lowry’s short-game will give him a huge advantage at Harding Park[/caption]

The Open champion has a short-game to die for, and that will be crucial at Harding Park.

The punishing rough and narrow fairways mean everyone will find it tough to hit the greens.

The Irishman understandably suffered a post-Portrush hangover – and boy, did he celebrate winning the Claret Jug.

But he looked close to his best again when finishing tied sixth in Memphis last week.

He had contended in Majors before the Open, but will be more dangerous after finally getting over the line.

Louis Oosthuizen – 66/1

USA TODAY Sports

Louis Oosthuizen is often the bridesmaid but never the bride, will 2020 be his year?[/caption]

The South African star has completed the “Second Slam” with runner-up finishes in all four Majors since his only Major victory in the 2010 Open.

But it is easy to visualise his name on the leaderboard once again.

He would have won more often if it was not for a recurring back injury.

But there were no signs of that troubling him when he also finished in a share of sixth place last week, shooting nothing worse than a 68 all week.

He can be a slow starter, but if he hits the ground running, watch out.


Danny Willett -125/1

EPA

At 150-1, Willett looks exceptionally good value to spring a surprise[/caption]

England has a strong hand in San Francisco, with Arnold Palmer Invitational winner Tyrrell Hatton, Tom Lewis, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Tommy Fleetwood all making an impact in America this year.

But at the odds, 2016 Masters champion Willett looks like the man to bet on.

He showed he can still win big by landing the DP World Tour Championship at the end of 2018 and adding the BMW PGA Championship title at Wentworth last year.

Never got going in Memphis, but has shown he can handle the pressure of Major championship golf.

Phil Mickelson – 66/1

Lefty won four and a half points out of a possible five when the President Cup was played at Harding Park in 2009.

He skipped making his Champions Tour debut to compete in last week’s World Golf Championship and duly finished second.

Mickelson won the PGA in 2005 at Baltusrol and reckons his game is coming into shape at just the right.

Kevin Kisner – 125/1

Flying in way under the radar is huge outside shot Kevin Kisner.

The American has finished in the top 18 in three of five appearances in the PGA – and was runner up in the 2018 Open.

He stormed home in a six-under 29 in last weekend’s final round and rumour has it he shot a four-under 66 in a practice round on Tuesday.

Abraham Ancer – 55/1

Mexican caught the eye with three really solid rounds spoiled only by a 75 in last week’s WGC-FedEx St Jude Invitational.

That was good enough to sneak into the top 15 on a really tough course.

A blip at the ultra difficult Memorial is the only time he has finished outside the top 15 in his five events since the coronavirus break.

He is also in the top 30 on Tour for strokes gained off the tee, approach to green, tee to green and strokes gained total.

Harding Park will suit someone with a reliable long game.



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